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Vplyv menového kurzu na ekonomiku ČR a SR
Adamčíková, Monika
Bachelor thesis evaluates the development of Czech and Slovak economy based on the evolution of exchange rate. The work includes a comparison of macroeconomic development mentioned countries in relation to the adoption of the euro in Slovakia, in comparison to the Czech Republic which still uses its own national currency. This work is also focused on the impact of introducing the common European currency in Slovakia.
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Econometric analysis of demographic aspects of economic development
LE, Václav Quang
The thesis focuses on econometric analysis of demographic aspects of economic development. The subject of the analysis is the sustainability of the pension system of the Czech Republic, which is examined from two perspectives, from the point of view of pension revenues and expenditures on pension benefits. The analysis is carried out using the multiple linear regression technique. Three models are presented for each of the variables examined. The dataset is time series in nature, has quarterly seasonality and the period under study is the time interval 2000-2022 Q1. According to the revenue models, revenue is positively correlated with GDP, wages and salaries, employers' social contributions, consumer price index (CPI) and negatively correlated with the number of employed and unemployed. Expenditures, on the other hand, are positively correlated with the number of pensions, CPI, average wages and past expenditures. The models presented were also evaluated for their forecast accuracy for 2018-2019 when there was no crisis and for 2020-2022 Q1 when there was a crisis. The models were able to capture the dynamics of the variables in the non-crisis period, but were not as accurate in the crisis period, with the expenditure models performing better in comparison. Based on cross-validation, the corrected Akaike information criterion and the Schwarz Bayesian information criterion, model 2 was selected for each variable to predict for Q2-Q4 2022. According to the revenue model, revenue should trend sideways/stagnate, while according to the expenditure model, expenditure should grow. Also, predicted expenditures are exceeding predicted revenues.
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Economic cycle and municipal budgets
MACHOVÁ, Lenka
The main aim of this diploma thesis named Economic Cycle and Municipal Budgets is to assess the impact of the economic cycle on the revenue and expenditure part of municipal budgets in the Czech Republic. The practical part is divided into two sections. The first section shows the development of the economic cycle in the Czech Republic and the development of revenues and expenditures of Czech municipalities in the years 2006 to 2019. The second section is an econometric analysis of the behavior of Czech municipal budgets depending on the economic cycle. Data for the second section of the practical part are obtained from publicly available databases such as ARIS, ÚFIS, AMECO database and MONITOR of the Ministry of Finance of the Czech Republic. In total 6 239 municipalities of the Czech Republic were analysed for the reporting period 2010 to 2019. A total of 12 explained variables were determined, namely: tax revenues, personal income tax, corporate income tax, value added tax, real estate tax, non-tax revenues, capital revenues, received transfers, received non-investment transfers, received investment transfers, current expenditures and capital expenditures. The dependence between the explained variable and the explanatory variable is examined using the regression analysis of the panel data. The economic cycle was found to affect all of the selected explanatory variables. The main hypothesis of the diploma thesis is not rejected. The economic cycle affects the revenue and expenditure part of the municipal budgets in the Czech Republic.
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Kvalita úvěrových portfolií a faktory jejich vývoje ve vybraných zemích CEE
Votavová, Jolana
The thesis aims to identify and assess factors determining quality of loan portfolio in Visegrad Four in the period of 1998-2014. Literature review helped to identify factors which could have had an impact on loan quality in selected countries. The level of non-performing loans could be influenced by both macroeconomic determinants: GDP growth, unemployment rate, inflation rate, nominal effective exchange rate, and bank specific factors: cost efficiency and capital adequacy. Econometric analysis tests these factors and as statistically significant determinants having impact on quality of loan portfolios identifies mainly macroeconomics determinants (GDP growth, unemployment rate, nominal effective exchange rate) and capital adequacy.
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Automobilový zahraniční obchod v ČR
Klímek, Mario
The bachelor thesis examines the impact of the automotive industry and international trade in passenger cars on the Czech economy. The first section provides a compilation of theoretical knowledge through international trade and its importance for the economy of the country. The rest of the first section is devoted to Czech Republic's main trading partners and the basic characteristics of the automotive industry. The second part analyses the impact of international trade in the automotive industry in Czech Republic via an advanced econometric analysis, based on official statistics and provides a clear view of the current situation in the international trade of automobiles, in the heart of Europe.
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Regulační nástroje ČNB a jejich zhodnocení
Janková, Tereza
The aim of this bachelor thesis is the evaluation of foreign exchange interventions and econometric analysis of how the exchange rate is dependent on selected eco-nomical values and the following assessment of the currency intervention. The theoretical part describes the instruments of monetary policy of the Czech Na-tional Bank (CNB) that are being used or were used in the past, the bank’s mis-sion, different objectives and its goal. This part also tells of the currency interven-tions run by the CNB between 2013 and 2017. Based on the previous evaluation, the dependence of exchange rate on Gross Domestic Product and Customer Price Index is analysed in the main part.
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Determinanty otvorenosti českej a slovenskej ekonomiky
Gašparíková, Silvia
The aim of diploma thesis is to determine influence of selected factors on eco-nomic openness in the Czech Republic and Slovak Republic between 2006 and 2015. The main determinants are conceived in relation to states with which the Czech Republic and Slovak Republic trade the most. In addition, the impact of the financial crisis is included in all models. The economics of the Slovak Republic has been considerably influenced by its accession to the Eurozone. This fact is taken into consideration in the assessment of the degree of the economics' openness compared to the economics of the Czech Republic, which monetary policy remains autonomous. Based on the results of regressions, the recommendations are suggested for the state's economic policy.
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Problematika míry otevřenosti zemí BRICS
Vávrová, Gabriela
The aim of diploma thesis is to determinate factors which have significant in-fluence on trade openness in the BRICS countries. It is based on quarterly figures for the years 2010 and 2018. For the analysis, econometric statistical methods are applied to basic data together with analysis of commodity and territorial structure of BRICS´s exports. The conclusion summaries results of multivariable regression model which are also used for assessment investment opportunities of Czech companies in these countries.
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